Evidence trace
Provenance-first trace Every cited item keeps its timestamp lineage, trust tier, category, and provenance path. Internal runtime context remains visible but never masquerades as external evidence.
Back to detail Final cited evidence 4
Dated 3/4
External evidence 3
Internal context 1
Weak 1
All External evidence Internal context
Timestamp Relative timing Class Source Trust Provenance
11 May 2026 at 20:30 UTC
BLS release prints firmer core inflation than consensus
Pre-spike 1h 30m pre-spike
macro_release External evidence
BLS bls.gov
high connector
connector:bls-calendar html_meta
The inflation release landed above the median estimate, weakening the case for an inter-meeting emergency cut.
11 May 2026 at 21:12 UTC
Fed speaker transcript leans against emergency easing
Pre-spike 48m pre-spike
policy_signal External evidence
Fed speech federalreserve.gov
medium html_meta
search:tavily html_meta
A same-evening policy transcript framed recent inflation and labour data as inconsistent with emergency action.
11 May 2026 at 22:00 UTC
Internal market context from the emergency-cut unwind
Concurrent Concurrent
concurrent_context Internal context
Market context
internal market_ctx
runtime:source_event market_snapshot
Runtime context captured the quote slide, lower emergency-cut probability, and follow-through into tariff-sensitive contracts.
Date unavailable
Undated macro blog revives the inter-meeting cut theory
Unavailable Unavailable
commentary External evidence
Macro blog macroblog.example
low search_only
search:tavily
A blog post kept the emergency-cut story alive but lacked durable timestamp lineage and carried little incremental diagnostic value.