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Evidence trace

Provenance-first trace

Every cited item keeps its timestamp lineage, trust tier, category, and provenance path. Internal runtime context remains visible but never masquerades as external evidence.

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Final cited evidence4
Dated4/4
External evidence3
Internal context1
Weak0
TimestampRelative timingClassSourceTrustProvenance
22 April 2026 at 23:41 UTC
Shipping advisory flags elevated tanker transit risk overnight
Pre-spike19m pre-spike
supply_signalExternal evidence
Shipping advisorymaritime.example
mediumconnector
connector:shipping-advisoryhtml_meta
A shipping advisory raised the cost of passage through a key corridor, providing a dated basis for a modest energy risk premium.
22 April 2026 at 23:52 UTC
Reuters links the overnight move to a renewed supply-risk premium
Pre-spike8m pre-spike
fundamentalExternal evidence
Reutersreuters.com
highhtml_meta
search:tavilyhtml_meta
Wire copy connected the market move to a narrower but still active regional risk premium rather than a full supply shock.
23 April 2026 at 00:00 UTC
Internal market context from the energy repricing window
ConcurrentConcurrent
concurrent_contextInternal context
Marketcontext
internalmarket_ctx
runtime:source_eventmarket_snapshot
Runtime context showed oil repricing lagging the ceasefire market and staying consistent with a modest spillover rather than a standalone shock.
23 April 2026 at 00:11 UTC
Commodities terminal note keeps the move framed as a partial spillover
Post-spike11m post-spike
market_commentaryExternal evidence
Commodities terminalterminal.example
mediumterminal_feed
connector:terminalterminal_feed
A terminal note after the spike argued that the energy move still lacked confirmation of a deeper physical supply disruption.