Evidence trace
Provenance-first trace Every cited item keeps its timestamp lineage, trust tier, category, and provenance path. Internal runtime context remains visible but never masquerades as external evidence.
Back to detail Final cited evidence 4
Dated 3/4
External evidence 3
Internal context 1
Weak 1
All External evidence Internal context
Timestamp Relative timing Class Source Trust Provenance
8 April 2026 at 01:54 UTC
Reuters reports formal ceasefire text circulating among diplomats
Pre-spike 6m pre-spike
fundamental External evidence
Reuters reuters.com
high html_meta
search:tavily html_meta
Wire copy cites two diplomats saying the ceasefire text was distributed minutes before the price gap accelerated.
8 April 2026 at 01:59 UTC
Government statement posts ceasefire bulletin
Pre-spike 1m pre-spike
fundamental External evidence
Gov statement gov.example
high connector
connector:official-feed html_meta
A state bulletin confirms both delegations agreed to an immediate halt in hostilities.
8 April 2026 at 02:00 UTC
Market context from the spike snapshot
Concurrent Concurrent
concurrent_context Internal context
Market context
internal market_ctx
runtime:source_event market_snapshot
Internal runtime context showing the quote gap, burst volume, and concurrent repricing across related war-risk contracts.
Date unavailable
Undated Reddit thread claims local truce talks were already underway
Unavailable Unavailable
social_media External evidence
Reddit reddit.com
low search_only
search:tavily
Open-web social chatter supports the narrative direction but has no reliable timestamp lineage.