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Desk Markets Runs Workspaces Briefs Search Calibration Settings

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Desk Markets Runs Workspaces Briefs Search Calibration Settings Admin

Orientation

How a run works

A short orientation to the public desk, run language, evidence records, visible gaps, and posture labels.

About this desk

What: Public research desk for prediction-market moves, implied probabilities, sources, and visible gaps.
Run: One analysis pass recorded as a feed row. Sources collected, evidence scored, posture assigned; recency appears in the Ribbon and time column.
Posture: stableThesis holds on current evidence.
watchGaps or tension present. Monitor for updates.
alertEvidence contradicts the thesis or is critically thin.
Evidence: Scored public sources attached to a market move. Counts appear in the Ribbon and the feed table.
Gaps: Known unknowns the run could not resolve. Flagged with a gap badge.
Caveat: Research, not betting advice. Postures are epistemic, not buy or sell calls.

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